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DECAF Score Calculator — COPD Exacerbation Mortality Risk

The DECAF Score is a validated clinical prediction tool for estimating in-hospital mortality risk in patients admitted with acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). It combines five easily assessed clinical parameters: Dyspnea (eMRCD score), Eosinopenia, Consolidation on chest X-ray, Acidemia, and atrial Fibrillation. The score helps clinicians stratify patients for appropriate level of care and guide treatment intensity.

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About

The DECAF score was developed and validated by Steer et al. in 2012-2014 using a large UK-based cohort of patients admitted with AECOPD. The score was derived from the EDED study (n=920) and externally validated in the DECAF study (n=1,695). The acronym DECAF represents the five independent predictors of mortality from the derivation cohort: Dyspnea (eMRCD 5a or 5b), Eosinopenia (eosinophil count <0.05×10⁹/L), Consolidation (chest X-ray), Acidemia (arterial pH <7.35), and atrial Fibrillation (history or current). The score has demonstrated excellent discriminatory power (AUC 0.82-0.86) for in-hospital mortality and outperforms other COPD severity scores including CURB-65 and the BAP-65 score.

Formula

DECAF = Dyspnea (eMRCD 5a/b = 1 pt) + Eosinopenia (<0.05×10⁹/L = 1 pt) + Consolidation on CXR (1 pt) + Acidemia (pH 7.3-7.35 = 1 pt, pH <7.3 = 2 pts) + Atrial Fibrillation (1 pt)

The DECAF score is calculated by assigning points to five clinical parameters. Dyspnea: 1 point for eMRCD grade 5a or 5b (housebound or breathless leaving the house). Eosinopenia: 1 point for eosinophil count <0.05×10⁹/L. Consolidation: 1 point for consolidation on chest X-ray consistent with pneumonia. Acidemia: arterial pH 7.30-7.35 = 1 point, pH <7.30 = 2 points. Atrial Fibrillation: 1 point for known history or current AF on ECG. Total score ranges from 0-6. Mortality rates by score: 0 → 0.4%, 1 → 2.1%, 2 → 6.6%, 3 → 14.5%, 4 → 25.0%, 5-6 → 46.2%. The score can be used to guide admission decisions: score 0-1 may be suitable for ward-level care or supported discharge, score 2 requires inpatient care, and score 3-6 warrants consideration for HDU/ICU-level care.

Score Interpretation

Acute exacerbations of COPD are a leading cause of hospital admission worldwide, with in-hospital mortality rates of 2.5-11% in published series. Identifying patients at highest risk of death enables appropriate triage to higher levels of care and may improve outcomes. The DECAF score is unique among COPD severity scores in that it was specifically designed and validated for predicting in-hospital mortality in AECOPD. It includes key pathophysiological parameters (hypoxemia/eosinopenia reflect ongoing inflammation and impaired host response) and clinical markers of disease severity (consolidation indicates presence of pneumonia, AF reflects cardiac comorbidity and physiological stress, and eMRCD captures baseline functional status). The score's simplicity (five clinical parameters easily assessed on admission) makes it practical for frontline clinicians in emergency departments and acute medical units.

Low Risk (0.4% mortality)0–0

DECAF 0. Very low in-hospital mortality risk.

Management: Consider outpatient management or supported discharge with early follow-up within 48 hours.

Low-Intermediate Risk (2.1% mortality)1–1

DECAF 1. Low in-hospital mortality risk.

Management: Consider hospital admission for close observation. Optimize bronchodilator and steroid therapy.

Intermediate Risk (6.6% mortality)2–2

DECAF 2. Intermediate in-hospital mortality risk.

Management: Admit to hospital. Administer oxygen, bronchodilators, and steroids. Consider NIV if needed. Monitor treatment response.

High Risk (15-46% mortality)3–6

DECAF 3-6. High in-hospital mortality risk.

Management: Urgent hospital admission — consider HDU/ICU. Close monitoring with frequent ABG analysis. Consider NIV or invasive ventilation. Multidisciplinary respiratory care consultation.

Reference Ranges

PopulationNormal RangeNotes
Patients with AECOPD0-6 points (0: 0.4%, 1: 2.1%, 2: 6.6%, 3: 14.5%, 4: 25.0%, 5-6: 46.2% mortality)Higher score = higher in-hospital mortality. AUC 0.82-0.86.
Dr. Mahmoud El-Sayed

Dr. Mahmoud El-Sayed

MD, FACEEndocrinology

Dr. Mahmoud is an endocrinology consultant with expertise in pulmonary and critical care medicine.

View medical review board & editorial policy →

Example Calculation

A 78-year-old woman with severe COPD (eMRCD 5b) presents with acute shortness of breath and confusion. HR 110, BP 100/65, RR 28, SpO₂ 85% on room air. Investigations: arterial pH 7.28 (→ 2 points), eosinophils 0.02×10⁹/L (→ 1 point), CXR shows right lower lobe consolidation (→ 1 point), ECG shows new-onset atrial fibrillation (→ 1 point). DECAF = 1 (dyspnea) + 1 (eosinopenia) + 1 (consolidation) + 2 (acidemia pH <7.3) + 1 (AF) = 6 — High risk (46.2% in-hospital mortality). The patient is admitted to the ICU for non-invasive ventilation, antibiotics, bronchodilators, rate control for AF, and close monitoring. Despite maximal therapy, she develops progressive respiratory acidosis requiring intubation and mechanical ventilation.

Related Medications

Common Mistakes

Mistake

Using DECAF for stable COPD risk assessment

Correction

DECAF is specifically validated for in-hospital mortality prediction in AECOPD. It should not be used for stable COPD risk stratification or for predicting long-term outcomes.

Mistake

Using venous pH instead of arterial pH

Correction

DECAF was validated using arterial blood gas pH. Venous pH may differ and has not been validated for this score. Use arterial pH when calculating DECAF.

Mistake

Not including history of AF as a positive criterion

Correction

DECAF includes known history of atrial fibrillation, not just current AF on ECG. Check patient's medical history for prior AF diagnosis.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does DECAF compare to CURB-65 for COPD exacerbations?
DECAF has been shown to outperform CURB-65 and BAP-65 for predicting in-hospital mortality in AECOPD (AUC 0.82-0.86 vs 0.68-0.72 for CURB-65). DECAF was specifically designed for AECOPD and includes disease-specific parameters like dyspnea grade (eMRCD) and eosinopenia, whereas CURB-65 was designed for community-acquired pneumonia.
What is the eMRCD scale and how is it assessed?
The extended Medical Research Council Dyspnea (eMRCD) scale grades dyspnea from 1-5b. Grade 5a: housebound, leaves house with difficulty; Grade 5b: breathless when leaving the house or unable to leave the house independently. DECAF assigns 1 point for eMRCD 5a or 5b, which indicates severe functional limitation.
Can DECAF be used in patients with asthma exacerbations?
No. DECAF was developed and validated specifically in patients with AECOPD (confirmed by spirometry or clinical diagnosis by a respiratory physician). It has not been validated for asthma exacerbations and should not be used in that population.

References

  • Steer J, Gibson J, Bourke SC. The DECAF Score: predicting hospital mortality in exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Thorax. 2012;67(11):970-976. PubMed
  • Steer J, Norman EM, Afolabi OA, et al. Dyspnoea, eosinopenia, consolidation, acidemia and atrial fibrillation (DECAF) score to predict in-hospital mortality in acute exacerbations of COPD: a prospective external validation. Thorax. 2014;69(8):713-720. PubMed
  • Echevarria C, Steer J, Heslop-Marshall K, et al. Validation of the DECAF score to predict hospital mortality in acute exacerbations of COPD. Thorax. 2016;71(2):133-140. PubMed
  • Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease. GOLD 2025 Report: Global Strategy for the Diagnosis, Management, and Prevention of COPD.
Medical Disclaimer: This calculator is intended for use by healthcare professionals for educational and clinical decision support purposes only. It is not a substitute for professional clinical judgment.
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